Saturday, 3 February 2007

Exporting Democracy - A Global Fiasco had an interesting article "Present and Future Power Debate: Who will be the choices in 2008?" which examines the possible scenarios of political developments, probable candidates and the effects of these decisions on the political life in the country. However, all the arguments brought to and for this or that candidate in the article are most irrelevent to see the overall picture in the country. The one and only thing that got me interested was rather this one single point made by Washington D.C./Yerevan political analyst Richard Giragosian:

Representing a western-influenced viewpoint, Giragosian says the US has learnt a clear lesson from organizing the flower and color (“Rose” in Georgia; and “Orange” in Ukraine) revolutions in some CIS republics and concludes that imposed democracies do not work in countries where there are no truly democratic oppositions.

With too many other hot spots of unrest or tension – from North Korea to Darfur – the west, says the veteran analyst, welcomes stability.

“The process of importing American democracy has exhausted itself. Today both the US and Russia want to maintain stability in Armenia and the CIS. That context would suggest the US should endorse Serge Sargsyan’s candidacy for Kocharyan’s succession, because Sargsyan will be able to continue the current political and economic path,” Giragosian says.

The point is - small nations like us should always remember, that for big nations liek US, Russia there are no such things as values, human rights or democratic principles outside of their immediate state borders. The one and only thing moving the world powers is profit: economic, political, military gains, etc. I have said previously in my blog posts, that the Armenian people can only count on themselves if they really want democracy, because nobody else is going to come round helping us - as it is not in any global power's interests. We are too small to represent a market, we have no nuclear arms to pose dangers to their security, etc, etc...
The conclusion by the analysts kills me - it is so very true, but so utterly disgusting!

For the time being perhaps Armenia needs someone like Putin – with some dictatorial way of rule and the ability to eradicate corruption and the constantly increasing criminalization in the country.

1 comment:

  1. Right, unfortunately. Still, it's as much the fault of the population and I said this to an EU person I met last week. Basically, too many people here want democracy enforced from outside -- or rather, not democracy, but their political choice.

    Instead, Armenians have to learn that when they demand democratic elections, the situation will improve. Meanwhile, the Government makes key concessions to the West like changing legislation, playing the right game in the Karabakh negotiations, keeping clear of escalating nationalist unrest in Samtskhe-Javakheti, and calling for relations with Turkey without preconditions, and the West is happy.

    Let's face it, who can blame them? Especially when the population don't care too much. At the same time, look at the opposition -- on matters such as Karabakh it is more nationalistic than the Government. No wonder the U.S. and Europe favors stability.

    However, Europe is a little different, I think. While the U.S. doesn't really care about democracy apart from in undemocratic countries that oppose its interests, Europe does at least want gradual change.